Nimble's credit risk agent populates a credit picture of any company with its financials, ratings, debt events, payment behaviour and distress signals from the live web, behind a low, moderate, elevated or high risk call. It reads SEC filings and annual reports, rating agency releases, court records and the business press, and cites a source for each item.
We ran Nimble's ready-made credit risk agent on the four companies below, at high effort. Each tab shows the exact input and the report it returned, unedited.
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Costco Wholesale Corporation
Recorded
Input
What went in
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Costco Wholesale Corporation
Output
What came back, unedited
Risk call
lowCostco Wholesale Corporation (Nasdaq: COST), Washington corporation, HQ 999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA 98027; CIK 0000909832
Costco presents very low credit and counterparty risk over the next 12 months. Evidence: (1) Ratings - S&P rates the issuer 'AA'/A-1+ with stable outlook (upgraded two notches in January 2025, affirmed October 23, 2026) and Fitch assigns 'AA' IDR/stable (November 2025); both agencies cite conservative financial policy and leverage well below downgrade thresholds (S&P-adjusted debt/EBITDA 0.0x-0.5x; Fitch EBITDAR leverage 0.7x in FY25). (2) Financials - FY2026 total revenue of $303.2 billion (net sales $297.2 billion + membership fees $5.9 billion), net income $9.2 billion, operating income $11.7 billion and operating cash flow $15.8 billion; $21.3 billion of cash and short-term investments against $6.2 billion total long-term debt, leaving a ~$15 billion net cash position. (3) Liquidity - $2.1 billion of undrawn bank facility capacity, no short-term borrowings, and the negative-working-capital model (sells inventory before paying for it) that generates cash from operations. (4) Only near-term maturity is $2.25 billion of notes due in fiscal 2027 against far larger cash and FCF resources; Fitch explicitly assumes these are refinanced. (5) The board declared a $30/share (~$13.3 billion) special cash dividend on November 10, 2026 plus a $4 billion buyback authorization - a strong capacity signal, though it will consume most of the FY2026 cash balance. Counterparty behaviour is excellent: 92.3% U.S./Canada member renewal rate, rapid payment practices benefiting suppliers, and no disclosed liens, judgments, defaults or covenant issues. Risks are modest: thin retail margins (membership-fee dependence per S&P), the special dividend draining ~$13.3 billion of cash, and modest growth capex ($7.5 billion planned FY2027) - none threatening 12-month debt service.
Ownership
Publicly traded on Nasdaq Global Select Market under COST (large accelerated filer, well-known seasoned issuer). 443,129,349 shares outstanding as of September 29, 2026; aggregate market value of voting stock held by non-affiliates was $451.6 billion as of February 15, 2026. No controlling shareholder identified; Costco operates ~939 warehouses at August 30, 2026, including a Japanese subsidiary that issues subsidiary-guaranteed notes
Financials (24)
Metric
Period
Value
Stated by
Total revenue
FY2026 (52 weeks ended August 30, 2026)
$303B
Costco Wholesale Corporation FY2026 Form 10-K
Net sales
FY2026
$297B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Membership fees
FY2026
$5.9B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Operating income
FY2026
$11.7B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Net income
FY2026
$9.2B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Interest expense
FY2026
$145M
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Net cash provided by operating activities
FY2026
$15.8B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Capital expenditures
FY2026
$6.4B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Cash and cash equivalents
As of August 30, 2026
$20.2B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Short-term investments
As of August 30, 2026
$1.1B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Cash and cash equivalents plus short-term investments
As of August 30, 2026 (vs $15,284 at Aug 31, 2025)
$21.3B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Current portion of long-term debt
As of August 30, 2026 (vs $75 at Aug 31, 2025)
$2.2B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
As of August 30, 2026
$3.9B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K balance sheet
Total long-term debt (fixed-rate carrying value)
As of end of FY2026
$6.2B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K Note 4 - Debt (long-term debt with fixed interest rates)
Short-term bank credit facilities - borrowing capacity
As of end of FY2026 (vs $1,220 at FY2025); no short-term borrowings outstanding
$2.1B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K Note 4
Accounts payable
As of August 30, 2026
$22.6B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K balance sheet
Total assets
As of August 30, 2026
$89.0B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K balance sheet
Total equity
As of August 30, 2026
$35.8B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K balance sheet
Comparable sales growth, total company (adjusted)
12 and 36 weeks ended May 10, 2026
6.6 percent
Costco Q3 FY2026 earnings release
Net sales, Q3 FY2026
12 weeks ended May 10, 2026 (+11.6% YoY)
$69.2B
Costco Q3 FY2026 earnings release
Net income, Q3 FY2026
12 weeks ended May 10, 2026
$2.2B
Costco Q3 FY2026 earnings release
Membership renewal rate, U.S. and Canada
End of FY2025
92.3 percent
Costco 2025 Annual Report (10-K)
Total revenue
FY2025 (52 weeks ended August 31, 2025)
$275B
Costco FY2026 Form 10-K (comparative)
EBITDA
FY2025
$13.5B
Fitch Ratings (Nov 25, 2025 rating report)
Credit ratings (3)
2026-10-23S&P Global Ratings affirmed the 'AA' Foreign Currency LT credit rating of Costco Wholesale; outlook stable
2025-11-25Fitch assigned a 'AA' Long-Term IDR and 'AA' unsecured notes rating, Outlook Stable; EBITDAR leverage 0.7x in FY25 (avg ~1x over five years), $14 billion cash plus $1 billion short-term investments and $1.22 billion bank facility capacity as of Aug 31, 2025
2025-01-21S&P Global Ratings raised Costco's long-term issuer credit rating two notches to 'AA' from 'A+' and its short-term rating to 'A-1+' from 'A-1'; outlook stable - citing strong execution, conservative financial policy and S&P-adjusted debt/EBITDA expected at 0.0x-0.5x
Debt events (6)
2027 (upcoming)$2.25 billion of parent unsecured notes mature in fiscal 2027 ($1,000 of 3.000% notes due May 2027 and $1,250 of 1.375% notes due June 2027); FY2026 maturities schedule shows 2027: $2,250, 2028: $0, 2029: $136, 2030: $1,750
2026-11-10Board declared a special cash dividend of $30 per share (~$13.3 billion total), payable December 4, 2026, and reauthorized a $4 billion stock repurchase program expiring November 2030 - funded from internal resources, a signal of very substantial financial capacity
2026-08U.S. revolving credit facility renewed and expanded from $400 to $1,000 total borrowing capacity, maturity extended to August 2027; Japan and Mexico subsidiary facilities also expanded, lifting total short-term bank borrowing capacity to $2,118 with no short-term borrowings outstanding
2026-06-03Filed shelf registration statement (Form S-3ASR) registering unsecured senior debt securities for future offerings - routine market access, not distress
2026 (FY)Japan subsidiary issued three series of Guaranteed Senior Notes totaling ~$500 at fixed rates 2.620%-3.680%, maturing June 2031-June 2041; repaid $69 of Guaranteed Senior Notes in FY2026
2024Repaid $1,000 outstanding principal of 2.750% Senior Notes at maturity (historical deleveraging)
Distress signals (3)
FY2026 (10-K filed October 2026)No distress signals in the FY2026 Form 10-K: no going-concern language, no covenant/default disclosure, no auditor disagreement or restatement; net income, operating cash flow and cash balances all grew; company states liquidity is sufficient for the foreseeable future
2026-11-07Director Helena B. Foulkes resigned from the Board (Audit and Nominating/Governance Committees); the 8-K states the resignation was not due to any disagreement - she was elected governor of Rhode Island; not a distress signal
2025-08-04Costco announced COO Russ Miller will retire in February 2026 - routine planned leadership succession, not a distress signal
Payment behaviour (2)
FY2026Negative-working-capital model favorable to suppliers' counterparty view of Costco as a customer: 'We often sell inventory before we are required to pay for it, even while taking advantage of early payment discounts' (10-K, Item 1)
FY2026FY2026 operating cash flow rose to $15,817 partly due to faster inventory turns and 'improved payment terms with suppliers'; no supplier-collection litigation or liens disclosed in the 10-K
Not verified
Moody's issuer rating and any Moody's rating actions - moodys.com ratings page returned only a cookie-consent wall, so the Moody's rating could not be verified from a fetched page
Court/UCC lien, judgment and collection-suit records for Costco - no such records were located or verified in this run; the 10-K discloses no material litigation amounts
DBRS / KBRA ratings - none located; Costco is rated by S&P, Fitch and Moody's only
Carvana
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.
Recorded
Input
What went in
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.
Output
What came back, unedited
Risk call
moderateCarvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), Delaware corporation, CIK 0001690820, 300 E. Rio Salado Parkway, Tempe, AZ 85281
Carvana is a speculative-grade credit whose probability of failing to meet obligations in the next 12 months is low by hard numbers, but whose single-channel funding model, controlled-company governance and 2023 distressed-exchange history keep it out of the low bucket — hence moderate. Evidence: as of 2026-09-30 (10-Q) cash was $3,049M against total debt of ~$5,157M ($283M current + $4,874M long-term), and the CFO reported record 0.8x net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDA and 6.9x EBITDA/interest coverage; the next major maturity (the $1.66B Term Loan B that replaced the 9.00% 2030 secured notes) sits in 2030 after the August 2026 refinancing cut cash interest ~$45M/yr. Q3 2026 was a record across the board (revenue $8.04B +42%, net income $483M, Adjusted EBITDA $800M at 10.0% margin, 217,385 units), and all three agencies have been upgrading: Moody's Caa1→B3 (Mar 2025) →B2 positive (Oct 2025); S&P B-→B (Mar 2025) →BB- affirmed with positive outlook and secured raised to BB (Mar 2026); Fitch first-time BB- Stable (Jul 2026). Carvana carries no financial covenants, moved to fully cash interest in August 2025, and showed no missed coupons or going-concern language. Offsetting factors: the company defaulted via a distressed exchange as recently as September 2023; profitability leans on monetizing finance receivables to a concentrated buyer group (S&P explicitly flags buyer-cessation risk), with margin compression already visible (EBITDA margin 10.0% vs 11.3% YoY; ~$200/unit fuel/rate headwind); governance is concentrated (Garcia parties ~83% of votes, Fitch 'deficient' governance, DriveTime related-party dealings); and there is ~$2.1B net inventory build YTD supporting a 1.5M-unit capacity bet. Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is guided to the higher end of $2.7–3.0B. Net: a counterparty can transact with Carvana on normal terms, monitoring the ABS/loan-sale channel and GPU trajectory.
Ownership
Publicly traded on NYSE under CVNA; controlled company under NYSE rules. Dual-class structure: Class A one vote, Class B ten votes held by the Garcia parties (Ernest Garcia III, Chairman/CEO, and Ernest Garcia II, largest individual holder; Garcia II economic stake ~7%). Garcia parties control ~83% of voting rights per Fitch; related-party transactions with DriveTime Automotive Group and Verde Investments (Garcia family vehicles).
Financials (19)
Metric
Period
Value
Stated by
Total revenue, Q3 2026 (all-time record, +42% YoY)
Q3 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-30)
$8.0B
Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026
Net income, Q3 2026 (margin 6.0%, +$220M YoY; includes $53M pretax expense on early note redemption)
Q3 2026
$483M
Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP), record, margin 10.0%
Q3 2026
$800M
Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026
GAAP operating income (margin 8.9%)
Q3 2026
$714M
Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026
Retail units sold (all-time quarterly record, +39% YoY; first quarter above 200k)
Q3 2026
217,385 units
Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026
Cash and cash equivalents
as of 2026-09-30
$3.0B
Form 10-Q filed 2026-10-28 (balance sheet)
Current portion of long-term debt
as of 2026-09-30
$283M
Form 10-Q filed 2026-10-28 (balance sheet)
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
as of 2026-09-30
$4.9B
Form 10-Q filed 2026-10-28 (balance sheet)
Total debt (current portion + long-term debt; calculated from 10-Q balance sheet lines)
as of 2026-09-30
$5.2B
calculated from Form 10-Q
Vehicle inventory (up from $2,408M at 2025-12-31)
as of 2026-09-30
$3.5B
Form 10-Q filed 2026-10-28 (balance sheet)
Total assets
as of 2026-09-30
$15.2B
Form 10-Q filed 2026-10-28 (balance sheet)
Total stockholders' equity (attributable to Carvana Co.: $4,352M)
as of 2026-09-30
$5.7B
Form 10-Q filed 2026-10-28 (balance sheet)
Net debt / trailing 12-month Adjusted EBITDA (company record; 1.0x at Q2 2026)
Q3 2026
0.8 ratio (x)
CFO Mark Jenkins, Q3 2026 earnings call, Oct 28, 2026
CFO Mark Jenkins, Q3 2026 earnings call, Oct 28, 2026
Revenue, FY2025 (up from $130M in 2015)
FY2025
$20.3B
Fitch Ratings, Jul 30, 2026
EBITDA, FY2025 (~10.5% of revenue); Fitch assumes ~$2.5B in 2026
FY2025
$2.1B
Fitch Ratings, Jul 30, 2026
Liquidity sources: $2.4B cash + $1.5B floor plan facility due April 2027 + $2.1B available under finance receivable facilities ($3.6B total receivable facilities) — Fitch cites $4.55–4.6B total
as of 2026-03-31
$4.5B
Fitch Ratings, Jul 30, 2026
Revenue, FY2024 (vs $10.8B FY2023; EBITDA margin 10.6% vs 3.9%)
FY2024
$13.7B
S&P Global Ratings research update, Mar 13, 2025 (S&P-adjusted)
S&P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage (includes $2.3B TRA liability recognized Q4 2025); FOCF/debt 13.6%; S&P expects net leverage 2.6x in 2026, 2.3x in 2027
FY2025 (year-end 2025)
2.9 ratio (x)
S&P Global Ratings, Mar 3, 2026
Credit ratings (5)
2026-07-30Fitch Ratings assigned Carvana Co. a first-time Long-Term IDR of 'BB-', Outlook Stable; secured notes 'BB+'/RR2, unsecured notes 'BB-'/RR4. EBITDAR leverage 2.4x in 2025 (4.3x in 2024), expected low-2x from 2026; ~$700M annual FCF expected from 2026. Governance assessed 'deficient' (-1 notch): Garcia parties control ~83% of voting rights; DriveTime related-party transactions (ESG score 5).
2026-03-03S&P Global Ratings affirmed Carvana Co. 'BB-' issuer credit rating, outlook Positive, and raised the senior secured issue-level rating to 'BB' (recovery '2', ~70%); senior unsecured affirmed at 'B' (recovery '6', ~0%). Affirmation incorporates a $2.3B tax receivable agreement liability recognized Q4 2025; FY2025 sales +48.6%, EBITDA margin 10.6%; ample liquidity with cash modeled above $3B each year. Upgrade possible within 12 months if leverage comfortably below 3x and FOCF/debt above 15%.
2025-10-02Moody's Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. corporate family rating to B2 from B3, outlook positive; senior secured notes to B2, senior unsecured to Caa1. Debt/EBITDA ~3.2x and EBITDA-capex/interest ~2.8x for LTM ended 2025-06-30; ~$1.86B unrestricted cash at 2025-06-30; transitioned to full cash interest in August 2025 after ~$320M PIK (LTM).
2025-03-27Moody's Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. corporate family rating to B3 from Caa1; B3-PD probability of default; senior secured notes to B3, senior unsecured to Caa2; speculative-grade liquidity to SGL-2 from SGL-3; outlook positive. Debt/EBITDA improved to ~4.2x at end-2024 from 18.8x at end-2023; ~$1.7B unrestricted cash at end-2024.
2025-03-13S&P Global Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. issuer credit rating to 'B' from 'B-', outlook positive; unsolicited senior secured issue rating raised to 'B' (recovery '4', ~40%); senior unsecured to 'CCC+' (recovery '6', ~0%). S&P-adjusted leverage ~5x in 2024 vs ~17.8x in 2023; liquidity viewed as adequate (cash $1.72B at end-2024; sources at least 8x uses over 12 months).
Debt events (7)
2026-10-28With Q3 2026 results, company confirmed the refinancing of $1.7B of senior secured notes due 2030 into the Term Loan B; Q3 net income includes a one-time $53M pretax expense tied to the early redemption; leverage at a record-low 0.8x net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDA; next significant maturity ~$1.66B Term Loan B / notes due June 2030 per Fitch.
2026-08-12Upsized and priced $1.66B senior secured Term Loan B (one-month Term SOFR + 225 bps, issued at 99.75, maturing seven years after closing); proceeds plus cash to redeem in full the 9.00% senior secured notes due 2030 — the nearest-dated secured maturity — saving ~$45M/yr cash interest; leverage-neutral; net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDA was 1.0x at Q2 2026. 8-K with the definitive agreement filed 2026-08-14.
2025-08Transitioned to fully cash interest payments in August 2025 after ~$450M non-cash PIK interest in FY2024 and ~$320M in the LTM ended 2025-06-30; Moody's expects Carvana to remain free cash flow positive after the switch.
2025-03-17Securitization issuance: Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2025-P1 publicly registered asset-backed notes of $602.78M (Class A-1 through D), underwritten by Deutsche Bank Securities; ongoing ABS funding channel (Carvana Receivables Depositor LLC — affiliated securitization entity, not the parent issuer).
2025 (FY) / 2026-03-03Reduced reported debt by about $500 million in 2025; recognized a $2.3 billion tax receivable agreement (TRA) liability in Q4 2025, now included in S&P-adjusted debt (adjusted leverage still only 2.9x at year-end 2025).
2024Redeemed $470M principal of the 2028 senior secured notes; raised $1.3B through prior at-the-market equity facility in 2024 (company retains a $1B ATM facility).
2023-09-01Distressed debt exchange closed: 96.41% of noteholders exchanged $5.520B of senior unsecured notes due 2025-2030 for new senior secured notes due 2028-2031 ($981M due Dec 2028, $1,471M due Jun 2030, $1,741M due Jun 2031), secured by substantially all Carvana and ADESA assets. Cut total principal by $1.326B, cut required cash interest by $456M/yr over two years, reduced combined 2025/2027 maturities by 88%; paired with a $350M equity raise and $341M cash to 2025 noteholders.
Distress signals (6)
Q4 2025S&P noted a year-over-year dip in retail GPU partly attributable to operational challenges and staffing turnover at some reconditioning sites, and that maintaining efficiency will be 'critical and difficult' given the speed of growth.
Q3 2026Margin compression inside record results: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 10.0% from 11.3% a year earlier; operations expense +$109/unit (fuel/logistics), advertising +$45/unit, other GPU -$299; ~$200/unit headwind from fuel prices and rising benchmark rates; inventory up ~$1.0B YTD to $3.46B to support 1.5M-unit capacity buildout.
2026-07-30Governance/concentration: Fitch assessed governance as 'deficient' (-1 notch) — Garcia parties control ~83% of voting rights via 10-vote Class B shares; related-party transactions with DriveTime and Verde Investments (leases, master dealer agreement, aircraft time-sharing). Historical distress includes the 2023 distressed exchange and deteriorated 2022-2023 ABS vintage loss performance.
2026-04-21Most recent tracked workforce reduction, affecting Atlanta workers; assessed low severity (per bizjournals.com via SIVL tracker; last verified 2026-04-21).
2026-03-03Funding-concentration risk: S&P flags that a significant reduction or cessation of loan purchases by major buyers would materially weaken profitability and credit metrics, and that underwriting relaxation in pursuit of growth could raise loan losses and impair the ability to sell loans; mitigation includes three definitive loan purchase agreements totaling $12B capacity secured in 2025 plus the $6B Ally program.
2022-05-10 to 2023-01-13Historical distress: 4,000 jobs cut across tracked rounds — 2,500 (May 10, 2022), 1,500/8% of staff (Nov 18, 2022), further layoffs Jan 13, 2023 'amid slowing sales and debt squeeze' (per TechCrunch/WSJ via SIVL tracker).
Payment behaviour (4)
3 years to 2026-10-305,043 BBB complaints against Carvana LLC in the last 3 years (1,588 in last 12 months), predominantly service/repair issues (3,456); not BBB accredited. Operating subsidiary Carvana LLC, not the listed issuer.
2026-10-29BBB complaint (resolved): a customer selling a vehicle to Carvana reported Carvana 'failed to pay me the money for it. $5498.01 is owed'; Carvana confirmed the amount and said its treasury team was reviewing the check and arranging reissue — an isolated delayed-payment-to-seller data point.
2025-08 to 2026-11No missed coupons, defaults or covenant breaches found: Carvana has no financial covenants per S&P; it moved from ~$450M/yr PIK (FY2024) to fully cash interest in August 2025 and remained current, with interest coverage a record 6.9x TTM Adjusted EBITDA/interest at Q3 2026.
2025-01-14Connecticut AG settlement after hundreds of consumer complaints involving delayed payments to sellers and extended title/registration delays: $1M consumer restitution fund plus $500K penalty to the state ($250K suspended if compliant). Carvana cooperated fully.
Not verified
Exact date and press release for S&P's interim upgrade of Carvana from 'B' to 'BB-' (occurred between May 2025 and the Mar 3, 2026 affirmation; this affirmation page does not state the prior action date, and the aggregator page holding it could not be opened)
Any Moody's rating action after Oct 2, 2025 (B2, positive) — none found in searched sources as of 2026-11-11; this page records the latest confirmed action
Available borrowing capacity under warehouse/receivables facilities and floor plan as of 2026-09-30 (values not legible in this 10-Q filing; latest dated figure is Fitch's $2.1B available under receivables facilities at 2026-03-31)
Beyond Meat
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Beyond Meat, Inc.
Recorded
Input
What went in
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Beyond Meat, Inc.
Output
What came back, unedited
Risk call
elevatedBeyond Meat, Inc. (Nasdaq: BYND), Delaware corporation, HQ 888 N. Douglas Street, Suite 100, El Segundo, California 90245; CIK 0001655210; IRS EIN 26-4087597; former name Savage River, Inc.
Beyond Meat is a deeply distressed credit in the aftermath of a distressed exchange, but its 12-month obligation risk has been pushed out by that restructuring. The company exchanged 97.44% of its $1.15B 0% 2027 convertible notes in October 2025 for $209.7M of 7.00% second-lien secured PIK-toggle notes due 2030 plus equity (booked as a troubled debt restructuring with a $548.7M non-cash gain), cutting carrying debt from ~$1.2B to $313.9M as of 2026-09-26 against $169.3M cash. Covenant compliance (including the $15M minimum liquidity covenant) is current, the remaining 2027 maturity is only $14.5M (with a $60M cap on cash repayment and an equity-exchange path already used), and operating cash burn has fallen sharply ($37.3M in 9M 2026 vs $101.2M a year earlier). Against that: revenue is shrinking (-10.4% 9M 2026; Q4 2026 guided $54-59M), Adjusted EBITDA remains deeply negative (-$24.6M in Q3 2026; -$178.4M FY2025), stockholders' equity is negative, gross-margin improvement (19.3% in Q3 2026) is early, impairments recur ($51.3M FY2025, $57.1M Q3 2026), and the company warns it may express substantial doubt about going concern in future statements if it cannot raise capital or refinance. Capital-market access is broken: Form S-3 eligibility and the ATM equity program are lost, a Nasdaq bid-price deficiency was cured only by a 1-for-30 reverse split, the 10-Q/10-K filings have been repeatedly late, material weaknesses in internal control persist (controller terminated December 2025), and vendor payment data showed days-beyond-terms doubled to ~19-20 days versus an industry average of 12 by mid-2025. Counterparties face genuine credit risk concentrated in a 2027-2028 funding cliff rather than a near-term default; the Sonate judgment (reduced ~$23.5M) and litigation accruals add residual claims. On balance: elevated risk of failure to meet obligations in the next 12 months, not yet high, because PIK interest, equitization options and current covenant compliance keep near-term default improbable while leaving little room for another negative surprise.
Ownership
Publicly traded common stock on Nasdaq Global Select Market under BYND (Delaware-incorporated; formerly Savage River, Inc.). Equity base was massively rebuilt through distressed financings: the October 2025 debt-for-equity exchange issued ~317 million pre-split shares (97.44% of the $1.15B 0% 2027 convertible notes exchanged, accounted for as a troubled debt restructuring); $100M of secured DDTL loans from Unprocessed Foods, LLC (affiliate of the Ahimsa Foundation) came with warrants (up to 9,558,635 pre-split shares); ~$148.7M of ATM equity was sold in 2025 before S-3 eligibility was lost; a 1-for-30 reverse stock split and authorized-share reduction was effected August 13, 2026 (new CUSIP 08862E307) after a Nasdaq minimum-bid-price deficiency notice on March 4, 2026, with compliance regained August 28, 2026.
Financials (30)
Metric
Period
Value
Stated by
Total net revenues (Q3 2026, down 8.1% YoY)
Q3 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-26)
$64.5
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Gross profit; gross margin 19.3% (vs 7.4% year-ago; highest in five years)
Q3 2026
$12.4
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Loss from operations (operating margin (144.1)%; includes $57.1M impairment and $20.8M accelerated rent)
Q3 2026
$-93
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Net loss (vs $97.0M net loss year-ago)
Q3 2026
$-82.8
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Adjusted EBITDA loss, (38.1)% of net revenues (vs $33.5M loss year-ago)
Q3 2026
$-24.6
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Cash and cash equivalents including restricted cash (down from $217.5M at start of year)
as of 2026-09-26
$169
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Total outstanding carrying value of debt, net of debt discount (incl. undiscounted future cash flows of 7.00% Convertible Senior Secured Second Lien PIK Toggle Notes due 2030)
as of 2026-09-26
$314
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Net cash used in operating activities (vs $101.2M used year-ago); capex $5.5M
nine months ended 2026-09-26
$-37.3
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Total net revenues, down 10.4% YoY (vs $213.9M)
nine months ended 2026-09-26
$192
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027 remaining outstanding (mature 2027-03-15), after $15.0M exchanged for ~1.55M shares on 2026-09-23
as of 2026-09-26
$14.5
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q3 2026 earnings press release
Net revenues, down 15.3% YoY (vs $68.7M Q1 2025); volume down 19.5%
Q1 2026 (quarter ended 2026-03-28)
$58.2
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Gross profit (gross margin 3.4%) vs gross loss of $6.9M year-ago
Q1 2026
$2
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Net loss (vs $61.1M net loss year-ago)
Q1 2026
$-28.5
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Adjusted EBITDA loss, (47.7)% of net revenues (vs $50.5M loss year-ago)
Q1 2026
$-27.8
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Cash and cash equivalents including restricted cash
as of 2026-03-28
$206
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Total debt carrying value, net of discount (incl. new 2030 Notes at completion of convertible debt exchange)
as of 2026-03-28
$412
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Net cash used in operating activities (vs $26.1M used year-ago)
Q1 2026
$-5
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q1 2026 earnings press release
Net revenues, down 15.6% YoY (vs $326.5M in 2024)
FY2025
$276
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Gross profit (gross margin 2.8%) vs $41.7M (12.8%) in 2024
FY2025
$7.6
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Loss from operations (operating margin (120.8)%) vs $156.1M loss in 2024
FY2025
$-332.7
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Net income, including $548.7M non-cash gain on debt restructuring (vs net loss of $160.3M in 2024)
FY2025
$220
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Adjusted EBITDA loss, (64.8)% of net revenues (vs $101.7M loss, (31.1)%, in 2024)
FY2025
$-178.4
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Cash and cash equivalents including restricted cash
as of 2025-12-31
$218
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Total outstanding carrying value of debt, net of debt discount (incl. new 2030 Notes at completion of convertible debt exchange)
as of 2025-12-31
$416
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Net cash used in operating activities (vs $98.8M used in 2024)
FY2025
$-144.9
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Net cash provided by financing activities, incl. $100.0M draws from Delayed Draw Term Loan Facility with Unprocessed Foods, LLC and ~$148.7M net proceeds from ATM common stock sales
FY2025
$223
Beyond Meat, Inc. Q4/FY2025 earnings press release
Cash and cash equivalents (and total outstanding debt ~$1.2B) before the debt exchange
as of 2025-06-28
$117
Beyond Meat Q2 2025 results / CFO Lubi Kutua, as reported by AgFunderNews
2030 Notes carrying value, net of debt discount (vs $308.4M at 2025-12-31); reduced by $68.8M principal converted into 1,913,604 Conversion Shares in 9M 2026 (carrying value reduced $109.9M)
as of 2026-09-26
$210
Beyond Meat Q3 2026 Form 10-Q
Cash and cash equivalents including restricted cash (Q3 2026 Form 10-Q, consistent with press release)
as of 2026-09-26
$169
Beyond Meat Q3 2026 Form 10-Q
Debt events (19)
2026-09-26Covenant compliance: 'As of September 26, 2026 and December 31, 2025, the Company was in compliance with the covenants of the Loan and Security Agreement' and with the covenants under the 2030 Notes, including the $15.0M quarterly-tested minimum liquidity covenant and the $60.0M cap on cash used to repay the 2027 Notes at maturity
2026-09-23Exchanged $15.0 million principal of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027 for ~1.55 million common shares; $14.5 million of 2027 Notes outstanding as of 2026-09-26, maturing 2027-03-15
2026-09-23Exchanged $15.0M principal of 2027 Notes at 96% of face for 1,552,628 shares (split-adjusted); $14.5M of 2027 Notes outstanding at 2026-09-26 ($29.5M at 2025-12-31), maturing 2027-03-15
2026-08-28Nasdaq confirmed compliance regained with minimum bid price requirement and closed the matter (following 1-for-30 reverse stock split effective 2026-08-13); no assurance of maintaining continued-listing compliance; delisting would trigger a 100% cash repurchase offer for the Notes
2026-08-10Second Supplemental Indenture (majority 2030 Noteholder consents): permitted repurchase/exchange of 2027 Notes with cash at no more than principal and/or equity consideration, and extended make-whole period end from 2025-10-15-2028 to 2029-01-15; same-day 8-K also reports entry into the Big Geyser distribution agreement with BG warrants
2026-02/03$62.6 million additional principal of 2030 Notes converted into common stock after year-end — 52,092,284 Conversion Shares issued plus 3,869,808 anti-dilution RSUs to key employees
2025-Q4Convertible debt exchange completed; $548.7 million non-cash gain on debt restructuring recorded in Q4 2025; company states it entered 2026 'with reduced leverage, extended debt maturity and added liquidity'
2025-11/2026-012030 Notes initial conversion rate set 2025-11-14 at 572.7784 shares per $1,000 (conversion price ~$1.7459, pre-split); First Supplemental Indenture (2026-01-12) added Beyond Meat BV guarantee of the 2030 Notes, secured second-priority on company and BV assets
2025-10-30Exchange Offer completed: tendered 2027 Notes represented 97.44% of outstanding principal (per Q3 2026 10-Q); issued $209,721,000 of 2030 Notes (incl. $12.5M SteerCo Premium) and 10,594,483 New Shares (split-adjusted); accounted for as a troubled debt restructuring (TDR) under ASC 470-60 with $548.7M non-cash gain on debt restructuring; supplemental indenture eliminated substantially all restrictive covenants of the 2027 Notes
2025-10-29Final settlement (2025-10-30): 97.16% of outstanding principal tendered ($1,114,603,000 early + $2,738,000 at expiration); total $209,176,000 New Convertible Notes issued plus 316,926,786 new shares; $32,659,000 of Existing Convertible Notes remains outstanding
2025-10-15Early settlement of exchange: $1,114,603,000 (96.92%) of Existing Convertible Notes tendered and cancelled; issued $196,217,000 New Convertible Notes plus 316,150,176 shares, plus $12.5M SteerCo Premium notes; total $208,717,000 New Notes (second-lien secured, 7.00% cash or 9.50% PIK, due 2030-10-15)
2025-10-15New-notes indenture covenants: minimum liquidity covenant of $15.0 million tested quarterly; cap of $60.0 million on cash used to repay Existing Convertible Notes at their 2027 maturity; cross-default amendment to Unprocessed Foods loan agreement
2025-10-15Intercreditor Agreement: New Convertible Notes subordinated in payment and liens to Unprocessed Foods, LLC first-lien loan obligations; supplemental indenture eliminated substantially all restrictive covenants of the 2021 indenture
2025-09-29Launched exchange offer/consent solicitation for $1.15B 0% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027: holders to receive up to $202.5M of new 7.00% Convertible Senior Secured Second Lien PIK Toggle Notes due 2030 plus up to 326,190,370 shares; TSA signed by ~47% of noteholders; conditioned on 85% participation; intended to eliminate over $800 million of debt
2025-09-18Further draw under the Loan and Security Agreement recorded as of 2025-09-18; facility was drawn in tranches (2025-05-07, 2025-06-26, 2025-09-18) with an undrawn remainder as of 2025-09-27; $100.0M total drawn by 2025-12-31
2025-08Closed facility providing up to $100 million in new senior secured debt from Unprocessed Foods; Unprocessed Foods receives warrants proportional to amount drawn
2025-06-26First draw on Delayed Draw Term Loan Facility: Unprocessed Foods, LLC (affiliate of Ahimsa Foundation) lent $40.0 million for general corporate purposes; facility of up to $100.0 million senior secured (first-priority lien on substantially all assets of company and Beyond Meat BV); interest 12.0% per annum rising to 17.5% if extended past initial maturity; accrued interest PIK; warrants for 3,823,454 shares issued on the draw (pre-split)
2025-05-07Loan and Security Agreement dated May 7, 2025 with Unprocessed Foods, LLC (affiliate of Ahimsa Foundation) providing up to $100 million senior secured delayed draw term loan facility
2021-030% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027 (CUSIP 08862EAB5) issued March 2021; $1,150,000,000 principal outstanding by September 2025
Distress signals (18)
2026-11-05/10Filed NT 10-Q on 2026-11-05 (inability to timely file Q3 2026 Form 10-Q) to finalize a material non-cash impairment charge and address a newly identified weakness in internal controls (material weakness as of quarter-end); Form 10-Q then filed 2026-11-10; company is an accelerated filer that lost Form S-3 eligibility and cannot access its ATM equity program
2026-09-26Q3 2026: $57.1M non-cash impairment of long-lived assets (triggering events in quarter); $20.8M accelerated rent from partial lease termination of Campus Headquarters; restructuring/consolidation of production network; U.S. retail revenue down 13.2% on distribution losses of burger and dinner sausage at certain club stores; Q4 2026 revenue guidance $54-59M with 'elevated level of uncertainty and volatility'
2026-09-26Q3 2026 Form 10-Q discloses 'material weaknesses' (plural) in internal control over financial reporting and an error correction (RevisionOfPriorPeriodErrorCorrection) for impairment, inventory valuation and debt issuance costs in FY2025 periods; sublease commencement triggered $29.8M lease impairment (part of the $57.1M Q3 2026 impairment)
2026-09-26Management's going-concern posture (Q3 2026 10-Q): history of net losses and negative operating cash flows; significant near-term obligations (2027 Notes maturing 2027-03-15, minimum liquidity covenants, Campus Lease, Sonate judgment); unable to access ATM Program so ability to raise additional capital is limited; management believes existing cash sufficient for at least 12 months, but states management may express substantial doubt about ability to continue as a going concern in future financial statements if it cannot raise capital or refinance/repay/restructure indebtedness
2026-08-13Effected 1-for-30 reverse stock split (ratio selected by board 2026-08-11 after stockholder approval 2025-11-19) and authorized share reduction to regain Nasdaq minimum bid price compliance; split-adjusted trading began 2026-08-14
2026-03-3110-K delayed: company unable to file FY2025 Form 10-K by deadline; became an untimely filer and lost Form S-3 eligibility for twelve months; second material weakness in internal control over financial reporting (inventory provision accounting) identified as of 2025-12-31; errors in 2025 interim statements deemed immaterial
2026-03-04Nasdaq deficiency letter: stock below $1.00/share for 30 consecutive business days; until 2026-08-31 to regain compliance or face delisting (stock 67 cents on 2026-03-25, vs near $200 in July 2019); compliance regained 2026-08-28 after 1-for-30 reverse split
2026-01Securities class action filed January 2026 against Beyond Meat and senior executives alleging misleading investors during 2025 (class period 2025-02-27 to 2025-11-11) by failing to timely disclose a material asset impairment while publicly emphasizing a path to EBITDA-positive operations by end of 2026
2025-Q4/FY2025Q4 2025 charges: $48.1M loss on write-down of assets held for sale; $38.9M non-cash litigation-related accrual; $13.3M share-based compensation from the convertible debt exchange; $2.4M inventory obsolescence provision (SKU rationalization); FY2025: $51.3M impairment of long-lived assets; $8.1M legal fees re arbitration with former co-manufacturer
2025-FY2026Ceased operational activities in China; partial lease termination of portion of El Segundo Campus Headquarters
2025-2026QSR customer losses in international foodservice; lapping of lost chicken sales to a QSR customer; higher trade discounts; arbitration with former co-manufacturer
2025-11-03/12Delayed Q3 2025 earnings and 10-Q (~1 week) to quantify an expected non-cash impairment; disclosed material weakness in ICFR over non-recurring and complex transactions (compensation, debt, lease and warrant transactions), citing 'inadequate technical resources'; terminated corporate controller/principal accounting officer Yi (Jevy) Luo (last day 2025-12-23), CFO Lubi Kutua assumed principal accounting officer duties; Q3 2025 included $77.4M non-cash impairment of long-lived assets
2025-10-15Board upheaval at exchange settlement: Ethan Brown, Nandita Bakhshi and C. James Koch resigned from the Board; Alexandre Zyngier, Mr. Koch and Raphael T. Wallander appointed as directors; 316,150,176 unregistered shares issued — share count roughly quadrupled and existing shareholders diluted ~80%
2025-10-068-K with 'Supplementary Risk Factors' filed — supplementary liquidity/risk disclosures in the run-up to the debt exchange
2025-10Analyst actions after restructuring: TD Cowen cut price target to $0.80 (sell); Mizuho cut to $1.50 (underperform); stock near $1.83, down 52.3% YTD; market cap ~$155 million
2025-08-22CreditSafe data reported by Food Dive showed 'days beyond term' on Beyond Meat's bills doubled year-over-year to 19 days — company struggling to pay bills; media reports it could soon run out of money; company said it had 'no plans to file for bankruptcy' (August 2025)
2025-08-07One-time charge of $800,000 to $1.3 million expected from the staff reduction; CEO Ethan Brown 'disappointed with our second quarter results' as U.S. retail revenue fell 26.7% YoY
2025-08-06Cut 44 employees in North America (~6% of global workforce); hired restructuring expert John Boken (AlixPartners Turnaround and Restructuring Services) as interim chief transformation officer; at least third workforce reduction in three years; withdrew FY2025 outlook citing 'elevated level of uncertainty'
Payment behaviour (5)
2025-Q4 to 2026-Q3Litigation with a former co-manufacturer: $38.9M non-cash litigation-related accrual taken in Q4 2025 and $8.1M legal fees in FY2025; reduced by a $21.8M credit in Q3 2026 reflecting a reduction in the litigation-related accrual
2025-2026Sonate Trademark Infringement Litigation: judgment entered against Beyond Meat; Q3 2026 10-Q lists the judgment among significant near-term obligations; a court later reduced the judgment by approximately $23.5 million (September 2026), reducing future outflows
2025-2026Litigation accruals and fees to counterparties: $38.9M litigation-related accrual (Q4 2025) and $8.1M FY2025 legal fees in arbitration with a former co-manufacturer; accrual reduced by a $21.8M credit in Q3 2026
2024-2025Consumer class action ('Beyond Meat protein content') settled for $7.5 million with settlement payments to claimants administered 2025-2026; court-record litigation, consumer-facing rather than supplier trade debt
2024-09 to 2025-07Creditsafe trade-payment data: Days Beyond Terms more than doubled over 12 months to 20 days (May 2025) and 19 days (July 2025) vs industry average of 12; 31-60 days overdue bucket jumped to 19.2% in April 2025 vs 8.2% in November 2024; 1-30 days past due rose from 30.97% of outstanding bills (Sept 2024) to 46.6% (Jan 2025) — rising late payments to vendors indicating liquidity pressure
Not verified
Committed undrawn revolver or other committed liquidity facility as of Q3 2026 — the $100M Unprocessed Foods delayed draw term loan facility is fully drawn (maturity 2030-02-07) and the ATM equity program is inaccessible after loss of Form S-3 eligibility; no other committed facility found
Creditsafe-style trade payment (days-beyond-terms) data after July 2025 — latest verified supplier payment data is from mid-2025
S&P / Moody's / Fitch issuer credit ratings or rating actions on Beyond Meat, Inc. — four targeted search rounds surfaced no rating-agency press release or ratings page for the company; no published agency issuer rating could be verified (Moody's ratings news index and S&P 'Find a Rating' checked; neither lists Beyond Meat)
New Fortress Energy
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of New Fortress Energy Inc.
Recorded
Input
What went in
Assess the credit and counterparty risk of New Fortress Energy Inc.
Output
What came back, unedited
Risk call
elevatedNew Fortress Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NFE), Delaware corporation, HQ 111 W. 19th Street, 8th Floor, New York, NY 10011; CIK 0001749723
New Fortress Energy spent 2025-2026 in effective default: it blocked/missed the November 17, 2025 interest payment on its 12% senior secured notes due 2029, missed its $30.6 million Term Loan B interest payment due December 10, 2025, told lenders it would not make December 31, 2025 principal payments, was downgraded by S&P to 'SD' then 'D' (March 20, 2026), and disclosed substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern in its Q1 and Q2 2026 10-Qs with $8.9 billion of total debt against negative equity. A consensual UK Restructuring Plan (sanctioned June 18, 2026; chapter 15 recognized June 26, 2026) closed on September 11, 2026, extinguishing ~$5.7 billion of third-party debt, cutting corporate debt to ~$700 million, raising $136.5 million of new financing, and replacing the old capital structure with ~$571.3 million take-back term loans (SOFR+6.125%, 5-year maturity), a $100 million junior facility, a $400 million non-recourse FLNG 2 facility and a $250 million LC facility with no financial covenants maturing March 2028. That deleveraging and creditor-owned capital structure materially lowers near-term payment risk, but the residual 12-month profile still warrants an elevated call: the issuer's last formal S&P rating action is 'D', there is no post-emergence re-rating on record, no post-emergence financial statements exist yet (NT 10-Q for Q3 2026 filed November 10, 2026, past deadline), H1 2026 operating cash flow was negative $278 million, contingent liabilities remain (JPS arbitration accrued as a probable loss, Alunorte arbitration up to BRL 376 million, an undismisse securities class action), and equity holders were diluted ~96% with a 1-for-50 reverse split - evidence that stakeholders just absorbed severe losses. For a supplier or counterparty: diversify exposure, require LC or prepayment terms, and re-evaluate once post-emergence financials and a fresh rating are published.
Ownership
NASDAQ-listed (NFE). On the September 11, 2026 restructuring effective date, plan creditors received 65% of the common equity of the restructured 'New NFE' (10,608,922 Class A shares), plus CoreCo Mandatorily Convertible Preferred shares with a $2.45 billion liquidation preference; existing stockholders retained 35% of CoreCo common stock at closing (about 13% fully diluted after preferred conversion). All equity of BrazilCo (the Brazilian business) was transferred to plan creditors. A 1-for-50 reverse stock split was announced September 9, 2026.
Financials (19)
Metric
Period
Value
Stated by
Total revenues
Q1 2026 (three months ended March 31, 2026)
$227
NFE Form 10-Q for Q1 2026 (per StockTitan filing summary)
Net loss attributable to stockholders
Q1 2026 (three months ended March 31, 2026)
$-399.9
NFE Form 10-Q for Q1 2026 (per StockTitan filing summary)
Cash and restricted cash ($92.4M unrestricted + $97.5M restricted)
as of March 31, 2026
$190
NFE Form 10-Q for Q1 2026 (per StockTitan filing summary)
Total debt (outstanding borrowings)
as of March 31, 2026
$8.3K
NFE Form 10-Q for Q1 2026 (per StockTitan filing summary)
Stockholders' deficit
as of March 31, 2026
$-55
NFE Form 10-Q for Q1 2026 (per StockTitan filing summary)
Total debt
as of June 30, 2026
$8.9K
Panabee analysis of NFE Q2 2026 Form 10-Q (filed August 6, 2026)
Panabee analysis of NFE Q2 2026 Form 10-Q (filed August 6, 2026)
Cash and restricted cash
as of June 30, 2026
$500
Panabee analysis of NFE Q2 2026 Form 10-Q (filed August 6, 2026)
Net loss (first half 2026)
six months ended June 30, 2026
$-774
Panabee analysis of NFE Q2 2026 Form 10-Q (filed August 6, 2026)
Operating cash flow
six months ended June 30, 2026
$-278
Panabee analysis of NFE Q2 2026 Form 10-Q (filed August 6, 2026)
Restructuring-related professional and consulting fees
six months ended June 30, 2026
$126
Panabee analysis of NFE Q2 2026 Form 10-Q (filed August 6, 2026)
Cash (including about $244 million restricted for Brazil construction and LC/performance-bond collateral)
as of September 30, 2025
$389
S&P Global Ratings (reported by Investing.com)
Other outstanding debt that would become payable on demand if 2029 noteholders accelerated
as of November 2025
$6.6K
S&P Global Ratings (reported by Investing.com)
Revenues
Q1 2025 (three months ended March 31, 2025)
$471
New Fortress Energy press release (preliminary results)
Net loss attributable to common stockholders
Q1 2025 (three months ended March 31, 2025)
$-200.1
New Fortress Energy press release (preliminary results)
Adjusted EBITDA
Q1 2025 (three months ended March 31, 2025)
$82.3
New Fortress Energy press release (preliminary results)
Total cash balance ($448 million unrestricted)
as of March 31, 2025
$827
New Fortress Energy press release (preliminary results)
Total corporate debt after restructuring (reduced from approximately $5.7 billion)
as of September 11, 2026
$700
New Fortress Energy press release, CEO Wes Edens
New financing raised at restructuring effective date ($36.5M senior secured term loans + $100M junior term loans)
September 11, 2026
$137
New Fortress Energy press release; Form 8-K
Credit ratings (6)
2026-03-20S&P lowered NFE's issuer credit rating to 'D' from 'SD' following the March 17, 2026 restructuring support agreement under a UK Restructuring Plan, viewing the transaction as tantamount to a default; legacy senior secured notes due 2026 and 2029 lowered to 'D' from 'CC'; the plan was to reduce corporate debt to about $528 million from $5.7 billion with $2.5 billion of preferred equity and 65% of common equity issued to creditors.
2025-12-23S&P downgraded NFE to 'SD' from 'CCC-' after the missed $30.6 million Term Loan B interest payment and forbearance extension; term loan B issue-level rating lowered to 'D' (recovery '3'); liquidity assessment revised to weak from less than adequate; S&P said the outcome of negotiations was highly likely to constitute a conventional or selective default.
2025-11-26S&P upgraded NFE to 'CCC-' from 'SD' after the forbearance agreement extended the interest payment due date to December 15, 2025; senior secured term loan B lowered to 'CCC-' from 'CCC' (recovery '3', 50%-70%); legacy senior secured notes due 2026 and 2029 lowered to 'CC' from 'CCC-' (recovery '5', 10%-30%).
2025-11-25S&P placed NFE's ratings on CreditWatch with negative implications, saying a conventional payment default or debt restructuring appears 'inevitable' within six months.
2025-11-18S&P downgraded NFE's issuer credit rating to 'SD' (selective default) from 'CCC' after NFE entered a forbearance agreement with holders of its 12% senior secured notes due 2029 following failure to make the scheduled November 17, 2025 interest payment; the 2029 notes issue-level rating lowered to 'D' from 'CCC-'.
2025-02-06S&P downgraded NFE's issuer credit rating to 'B' from 'B+' on weak liquidity and high leverage; outlook negative.
Debt events (13)
2026-11-10NT 10-Q filed: Q3 2026 Form 10-Q not filed on time - the first reporting period after the restructuring emergence.
2026-09-11Restructuring Effective Date: ~$5.7 billion of third-party debt extinguished; corporate debt reduced from ~$5.7 billion to ~$700 million; plan creditors received all BrazilCo equity, $2.45 billion liquidation-preference preferred, 65% of common equity and ~$571.3 million of take-back term loans; new CoreCo senior term loans at SOFR+6.125% (5-year maturity), junior facility at SOFR+8.125%, $400 million non-recourse FLNG 2 term loans (SOFR+3.00% PIK, 3-year) plus $200 million FLNG 2 preferred, and an amended $250 million LC facility maturing March 15, 2028 with no financial covenants; $136.5 million new financing funded.
2026-09-09Announced 1-for-50 reverse stock split.
2026-08-06Q2 2026 10-Q disclosed defaults across major debt facilities (2026 Notes, 2029 Notes, Term Loan A, Term Loan B, Revolving Facility) and a going-concern qualification; RSA required a $100 million Minimum Liquidity Threshold.
2026-06-26US Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of New York confirmed recognition (chapter 15) of the UK Restructuring Plan.
2026-06-18English High Court sanctioned two interconnected Part 26A restructuring plans eliminating approximately US$9.6 billion of debt, converting substantial funded debt into equity, issuing approximately US$970 million of new debt, and reorganizing into separate Brazilian and non-Brazilian businesses.
2026-03-17Restructuring Support Agreement entered with lenders and noteholders representing over 97% of roughly $5.8 billion of indebtedness: separation into CoreCo and BrazilCo, debt exchanged into new CoreCo term loans, BrazilCo equity, non-recourse FLNG 2 instruments and $2.46 billion liquidation-preference convertible preferred; existing shares to 35% at closing and ~13% fully diluted.
2025-12-17NFE entered a forbearance agreement with Term Loan B lenders (loans due October 30, 2028) after the missed payment and told lenders it does not intend to make certain principal payments due December 31, 2025; forbearance with New 2029 noteholders extended to January 9, 2026.
2025-12-10NFE did not make its $30.6 million scheduled Term Loan B interest payment.
2025-11-20Sixth Amendment to the Term Loan A Credit Agreement (dated July 19, 2024; Morgan Stanley Senior Funding as agent) providing covenant relief; its condition precedent required concurrent amendments to the Revolving Credit Agreement and LC Facility with covenant relief at least as favorable.
2025-11-17Forbearance and Waiver Agreement between NFE Financing LLC and holders of the New 2029 Notes after the scheduled November 17, 2025 interest payment was not made; due date effectively extended 30 days to December 15, 2025; breach would trigger an event of default under the LC Agreement allowing cash collateralization of all letters of credit and acceleration of substantially all debt.
2025-11-14Eleventh Amendment to the Letter of Credit and Reimbursement Agreement (Natixis, NY Branch): LC facility maturity extended to March 31, 2026; covenant holiday on first lien debt ratio and fixed charge coverage ratio covenants for Q3 and Q4 2025; quarterly minimum liquidity requirement removed; dividends/distributions flexibility removed; payments on certain debt restricted, including the November 17, 2025 interest payment on the New 2029 Notes.
2025-05-14Completed sale of Jamaica assets and operations (Montego Bay and Old Harbour LNG terminals, Clarendon CHP plant) to Excelerate Energy for $1.055 billion; proceeds committed to pay down $270 million of the Revolving Credit Facility and $55 million of the Term Loan A facility, remainder to balance-sheet cash.
Distress signals (7)
2026-11-10NT 10-Q filed November 10, 2026 - the Q3 2026 Form 10-Q (first post-emergence report) was not filed on time.
2026-09-11Existing common stockholders were diluted to 35% of CoreCo common equity at closing and approximately 13% fully diluted after conversion of the $2.45 billion liquidation-preference convertible preferred; a 1-for-50 reverse stock split followed - severe value transfer to creditors.
2026-08-06Q2 2026 Form 10-Q: going-concern doubt persisted with $8.9 billion total debt against negative equity of $432 million (book-value insolvency); H1 2026 net loss of $774 million and negative operating cash flow of $278 million; restructuring professional/consulting fees of $126 million for the half.
2026-05-13Q1 2026 Form 10-Q (filed with SEC May 13, 2026): management stated 'substantial doubt as to the Company's ability to continue as a going concern'; multiple debt facilities and notes in payment default, significant interest payments missed, major instruments classified as current liabilities; failure of the restructuring would likely force more severe in-court proceedings with risk of no recovery to stockholders.
2026-02-19Securities fraud class action (filed September 17, 2024; Rule 10b-5; class period September 20, 2022 - August 8, 2024) still in litigation; motion to dismiss denied February 19, 2026; total settlements to date $0.
2026 (2025 loss year)Auditor's going-concern warning after a large 2025 loss drew investor attention (Yahoo Finance/Simply Wall St coverage headline).
2025 to 2026Severe financial distress following substantial cost overruns and delays across major infrastructure projects; liquidity pressures intensified; market capitalization declined approximately 91% over a 12-month period.
Payment behaviour (5)
2026-08-14Counterparty confirmation: JPS's annual report reported US$27.1 million in 'other receivables' recoverable from a key fuel supplier that disputes the recovery claim (supplier not named in the report).
2026-08-06Contingent counterparty claims disclosed in the Q2 2026 10-Q: potential Brazil penalties for PortoCem transmission relocation of BRL 51.5 million and arbitration claims from Alunorte of up to BRL 376 million.
2025-12-10Did not make its $30.6 million scheduled Term Loan B interest payment; subsequently told lenders it did not intend to make certain principal payments due December 31, 2025.
2025-11-17Failed to make the scheduled interest payment on its 12% senior secured notes due 2029 (issued by NFE Financing LLC); the LC facility amendment restricted the payment and a 30-day forbearance extended the due date to December 15, 2025; S&P characterized this as a selective default.
2024-2026Jamaica Public Service (JPS) arbitration over a fuel-supply dispute worth a combined US$40 million: JPS claims US$32.9 million for the cost of alternative fuel after infrastructure changes at the Port of Montego Bay disrupted deliveries from NFE's Montego Bay LNG terminal in 2024; NFE asserted force majeure and filed a US$7.2 million counterclaim; per NFE's SEC quarterly filing it 'has accrued for the probable loss as of June 30' 2026 (arbitration commenced Q1 2026).
Not verified
Moody's, Fitch or DBRS issuer credit ratings or rating actions on New Fortress Energy Inc. - none found in retrieved sources; only S&P Global Ratings actions were verifiable
Post-emergence financial statements: no financials published since the September 11, 2026 restructuring effective date; the Q3 2026 Form 10-Q was late (NT 10-Q filed November 10, 2026)
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2/H1 2026
Committed revolving credit facility size/available liquidity after emergence (only the $250 million letter-of-credit facility with no financial covenants, maturing March 15, 2028, is described)
Any post-restructuring rating action by S&P following the 'D' of March 20, 2026 (S&P said it was unlikely to reevaluate ratings before completion of the UK restructuring; no later action found)
An example run of the credit risk agent. The request sends the agent ID, an input such as "Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co." and an effort level. The response is the report as JSON, with a source URL on every item.
import os, time
from nimble_python import Nimble
nimble = Nimble(api_key=os.environ["NIMBLE_API_KEY"])
agent_id ="wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9"# Nimble's credit risk agent
run = nimble.agents.runs.create(
agent_id,
input="Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.",
effort="high",)while run.is_active:
time.sleep(10)
run = nimble.agents.runs.get(run.id, agent_id=agent_id)
result = nimble.agents.runs.result(run.id, agent_id=agent_id)
print(result.output.content)
import Nimble from"@nimble-way/nimble-js";const nimble =new Nimble({ apiKey: process.env.NIMBLE_API_KEY });const agentId ="wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9";// Nimble's credit risk agentlet run =await nimble.agents.runs.create(agentId,{
input:"Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.",
effort:"high",});while(run.is_active){awaitnew Promise((r)=> setTimeout(r,10000));
run =await nimble.agents.runs.get(run.id,{ agent_id: agentId });}const result =await nimble.agents.runs.result(run.id,{ agent_id: agentId });
console.log(result.output.content);
AGENT_ID=wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9 # Nimble's credit risk agent
RUN_ID=$(nimble agents:runs create \--agent-id"$AGENT_ID"\--input'Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.'\--effort high |jq-r.id)# repeat while "is_active" is true, then read the resultnimble agents:runs get --agent-id"$AGENT_ID"--run-id"$RUN_ID"nimble agents:runs result --agent-id"$AGENT_ID"--run-id"$RUN_ID"
AGENT_ID=wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9 # Nimble's credit risk agentcurl-X POST "https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/$AGENT_ID/runs"\--header"Authorization: Bearer $NIMBLE_API_KEY"\--header'Content-Type: application/json'\--data'{"input":"Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.","effort":"high"}'# poll until is_active is false, then read the resultcurl"https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/$AGENT_ID/runs/$RUN_ID"--header"Authorization: Bearer $NIMBLE_API_KEY"curl"https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/$AGENT_ID/runs/$RUN_ID/result"--header"Authorization: Bearer $NIMBLE_API_KEY"
2Response example
Recorded November 11, 2026.
{"run":{"id":"task_run_57276f3409ac4b8c9f57707204eb8990","status":"completed","effort":"high","started_at":"2026-11-11T10:38:18.666519Z","completed_at":"2026-11-11T10:44:29.830828Z"},"output":{"type":"json","content":{"company":"Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), Delaware corporation, CIK 0001690820, 300 E. Rio Salado Parkway, Tempe, AZ 85281","ownership":{"as_of":"2026-07-30","value":"Publicly traded on NYSE under CVNA; controlled company under NYSE rules. Dual-class structure: Class A one vote, Class B ten votes held by the Garcia parties (Ernest Garcia III, Chairman/CEO, and Ernest Garcia II, largest individual holder; Garcia II economic stake ~7%). Garcia parties control ~83% of voting rights per Fitch; related-party transactions with DriveTime Automotive Group and Verde Investments (Garcia family vehicles).","source_url":"https://fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-assigns-first-time-idr-of-bb-to-carvana-co-outlook-stable-30-07-2026"},"risk_call":"moderate","financials":[{"value":8040,"metric":"Total revenue, Q3 2026 (all-time record, +42% YoY)","period":"Q3 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-30)","currency":"USD millions","stated_by":"Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026","source_url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results"},{"value":483,"metric":"Net income, Q3 2026 (margin 6.0%, +$220M YoY; includes $53M pretax expense on early note redemption)","period":"Q3 2026","currency":"USD millions","stated_by":"Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026","source_url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results"},{"value":800,"metric":"Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP), record, margin 10.0%","period":"Q3 2026","currency":"USD millions","stated_by":"Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026","source_url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results"}],"debt_events":[{"date":"2023-09-01","summary":"Distressed debt exchange closed: 96.41% of noteholders exchanged $5.520B of senior unsecured notes due 2025-2030 for new senior secured notes due 2028-2031 ($981M due Dec 2028, $1,471M due Jun 2030, $1,741M due Jun 2031), secured by substantially all Carvana and ADESA assets. Cut total principal by $1.326B, cut required cash interest by $456M/yr over two years, reduced combined 2025/2027 maturities by 88%; paired with a $350M equity raise and $341M cash to 2025 noteholders.","source_url":"https://investors.carvana.com/~/media/Files/C/Carvana-IR/documents/debt-exchange-summary.pdf"},{"date":"2024","summary":"Redeemed $470M principal of the 2028 senior secured notes; raised $1.3B through prior at-the-market equity facility in 2024 (company retains a $1B ATM facility).","source_url":"https://investing.com/news/stock-market-news/carvana-co-credit-rating-upgraded-at-sp-due-to-improved-performance-93CH-3929628"},{"date":"2025-03-17","summary":"Securitization issuance: Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2025-P1 publicly registered asset-backed notes of $602.78M (Class A-1 through D), underwritten by Deutsche Bank Securities; ongoing ABS funding channel (Carvana Receivables Depositor LLC — affiliated securitization entity, not the parent issuer).","source_url":"https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1770373/000177037325000014/crvna2025-p1xform8xkrepric.htm"}],"credit_ratings":[{"date":"2025-03-13","summary":"S&P Global Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. issuer credit rating to 'B' from 'B-', outlook positive; unsolicited senior secured issue rating raised to 'B' (recovery '4', ~40%); senior unsecured to 'CCC+' (recovery '6', ~0%). S&P-adjusted leverage ~5x in 2024 vs ~17.8x in 2023; liquidity viewed as adequate (cash $1.72B at end-2024; sources at least 8x uses over 12 months).","source_url":"https://spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/101616201"},{"date":"2025-03-27","summary":"Moody's Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. corporate family rating to B3 from Caa1; B3-PD probability of default; senior secured notes to B3, senior unsecured to Caa2; speculative-grade liquidity to SGL-2 from SGL-3; outlook positive. Debt/EBITDA improved to ~4.2x at end-2024 from 18.8x at end-2023; ~$1.7B unrestricted cash at end-2024.","source_url":"https://investing.com/news/stock-market-news/carvanas-corporate-family-rating-upgraded-by-moodys-to-b3-93CH-3954803"},{"date":"2025-10-02","summary":"Moody's Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. corporate family rating to B2 from B3, outlook positive; senior secured notes to B2, senior unsecured to Caa1. Debt/EBITDA ~3.2x and EBITDA-capex/interest ~2.8x for LTM ended 2025-06-30; ~$1.86B unrestricted cash at 2025-06-30; transitioned to full cash interest in August 2025 after ~$320M PIK (LTM).","source_url":"https://investing.com/news/stock-market-news/moodys-upgrades-carvanas-credit-rating-to-b2-outlook-positive-93CH-4269503"}],"missing_fields":["Exact date and press release for S&P's interim upgrade of Carvana from 'B' to 'BB-' (occurred between May 2025 and the Mar 3, 2026 affirmation; this affirmation page does not state the prior action date, and the aggregator page holding it could not be opened)","Any Moody's rating action after Oct 2, 2025 (B2, positive) — none found in searched sources as of 2026-11-11; this page records the latest confirmed action","Available borrowing capacity under warehouse/receivables facilities and floor plan as of 2026-09-30 (values not legible in this 10-Q filing; latest dated figure is Fitch's $2.1B available under receivables facilities at 2026-03-31)"],"risk_rationale":"Carvana is a speculative-grade credit whose probability of failing to meet obligations in the next 12 months is low by hard numbers, but whose single-channel funding model, controlled-company governance and 2023 distressed-exchange history keep it out of the low bucket — hence moderate. Evidence: as of 2026-09-30 (10-Q) cash was $3,049M against total debt of ~$5,157M ($283M current + $4,874M long-term), and the CFO reported record 0.8x net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDA and 6.9x EBITDA/interest coverage; the next major maturity (the $1.66B Term Loan B that replaced the 9.00% 2030 secured notes) sits in 2030 after the August 2026 refinancing cut cash interest ~$45M/yr. Q3 2026 was a record across the board (revenue $8.04B +42%, net income $483M, Adjusted EBITDA $800M at 10.0% margin, 217,385 units), and all three agencies have been upgrading: Moody's Caa1→B3 (Mar 2025) →B2 positive (Oct 2025); S&P B-→B (Mar 2025) →BB- affirmed with positive outlook and secured raised to BB (Mar 2026); Fitch first-time BB- Stable (Jul 2026). Carvana carries no financial covenants, moved to fully cash interest in August 2025, and showed no missed coupons or going-concern language. Offsetting factors: the company defaulted via a distressed exchange as recently as September 2023; profitability leans on monetizing finance receivables to a concentrated buyer group (S&P explicitly flags buyer-cessation risk), with margin compression already visible (EBITDA margin 10.0% vs 11.3% YoY; ~$200/unit fuel/rate headwind); governance is concentrated (Garcia parties ~83% of votes, Fitch 'deficient' governance, DriveTime related-party dealings); and there is ~$2.1B net inventory build YTD supporting a 1.5M-unit capacity bet. Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is guided to the higher end of $2.7–3.0B. Net: a counterparty can transact with Carvana on normal terms, monitoring the ABS/loan-sale channel and GPU trajectory.","distress_signals":[{"date":"2022-05-10 to 2023-01-13","summary":"Historical distress: 4,000 jobs cut across tracked rounds — 2,500 (May 10, 2022), 1,500/8% of staff (Nov 18, 2022), further layoffs Jan 13, 2023 'amid slowing sales and debt squeeze' (per TechCrunch/WSJ via SIVL tracker).","source_url":"https://gosivl.com/companies/carvana-layoffs"},{"date":"2026-04-21","summary":"Most recent tracked workforce reduction, affecting Atlanta workers; assessed low severity (per bizjournals.com via SIVL tracker; last verified 2026-04-21).","source_url":"https://gosivl.com/companies/carvana-layoffs"},{"date":"Q3 2026","summary":"Margin compression inside record results: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 10.0% from 11.3% a year earlier; operations expense +$109/unit (fuel/logistics), advertising +$45/unit, other GPU -$299; ~$200/unit headwind from fuel prices and rising benchmark rates; inventory up ~$1.0B YTD to $3.46B to support 1.5M-unit capacity buildout.","source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/carvana-co-cvna-q3-2026-090838945.html"}],"payment_behaviour":[{"date":"2026-10-29","summary":"BBB complaint (resolved): a customer selling a vehicle to Carvana reported Carvana 'failed to pay me the money for it. $5498.01 is owed'; Carvana confirmed the amount and said its treasury team was reviewing the check and arranging reissue — an isolated delayed-payment-to-seller data point.","source_url":"https://bbb.org/us/az/tempe/profile/online-car-dealers/carvana-llc-1126-1000037076/complaints"},{"date":"2025-01-14","summary":"Connecticut AG settlement after hundreds of consumer complaints involving delayed payments to sellers and extended title/registration delays: $1M consumer restitution fund plus $500K penalty to the state ($250K suspended if compliant). Carvana cooperated fully.","source_url":"https://wtnh.com/news/connecticut/ag-tong-announces-1-5-million-settlement-with-used-car-dealership-carvana"},{"date":"3 years to 2026-10-30","summary":"5,043 BBB complaints against Carvana LLC in the last 3 years (1,588 in last 12 months), predominantly service/repair issues (3,456); not BBB accredited. Operating subsidiary Carvana LLC, not the listed issuer.","source_url":"https://bbb.org/us/az/tempe/profile/online-car-dealers/carvana-llc-1126-1000037076/complaints"}]},"confidence":null,"sources":[{"url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results","title":"Carvana Announces Record Third Quarter 2026 Results"},{"url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/carvana-co-cvna-q3-2026-090838945.html","title":"Carvana Co (CVNA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record $8 Billion ..."},{"url":"https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001690820/000169082026000067/cvna-20260930.htm","title":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001690820/000169082026000067/cvna-20260930.htm"},{"url":"https://fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/10/29/carvana-cvna-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript","title":"Carvana (CVNA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - The Motley Fool"},{"url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-successful-upsize-and-pricing-of-1-66b-senior-secured-term-loan-b-facility","title":"Carvana Announces Successful Upsize and Pricing of $1.66B Senior ..."}]}}
This is the context an AI agent can use to call the credit risk agent: its ID, the skill it already runs with, the request options and an example response. The same file is at credit-risk-agent.md.
Agent instructions/Credit risk
---type:"nimble-agent"agent:"credit-risk"agent_id:"wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9"description:"Get a company's credit picture: financials, ratings, debt events, payment issues and distress signals, with a risk call."use_when:"A sourced first read on whether a customer, supplier, borrower or issuer can pay, with a risk call that follows from cited items."default_effort:"high"cost_per_run:"$0.50 at high effort"---# Nimble: Credit risk agent
Get a company's credit picture: financials, ratings, debt events, payment issues and distress signals, with a risk call.
## Agent instructions
Run this ready-made agent by its ID. It already carries the research skill and output schema below, so the input only needs the company, by its legal name if you have it.
- Agent page: [Credit risk agent](https://online.nimbleway.com/web-search-agents/wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9)
- Agent ID: `wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9`
- Default effort: `high`
- Docs: [Web Search Agents](https://docs.nimbleway.com/nimble-sdk/web-search-agents/overview)## Skill
Where credit evidence lives:
- Financials: public companies file 10-K, 10-Q, 20-F or annual reports. Private companies: filed accounts in UK Companies
House and EU registries, or statements by the company or press (label who said it). Revenue, EBITDA, cash, total debt
and available liquidity (revolver, runway) are the core numbers.
- Ratings: S&P, Moody's, Fitch, DBRS and KBRA press releases, including outlook changes.
- Debt events: new financings, refinancings, covenant amendments or breaches, missed coupons, defaults, distressed
exchanges, bankruptcy filings (PACER, Chapter 11 claims agent sites, national insolvency registers such as the UK
Gazette).
- Payment behaviour: liens, judgments and collection suits on court and UCC records; supplier complaints in trade press.
- Distress signals: layoffs, hiring freezes, closures, CFO departures, auditor changes, going-concern language, large
customer losses.
Definitions: low, moderate, elevated and high describe the likelihood the company cannot meet its obligations in the next
12 months. A risk call should follow from cited items, not from the industry.
Pitfalls: a parent's or subsidiary's figures are not the company's. Ratings apply to a specific issuer entity.
Citations and evidence:
- source_url is one full public https URL: the page the value was read on. Never an internal file path or source id. A
value from two pages is two values.
- as_of is the date the source states or was published, not today's date.
- A value nobody published is null, listed in missing_fields. Not an estimate from memory.
- Entity drift is the most common error: a namesake, a parent, a subsidiary or a similarly named company. Match on domain,
registry number, HQ city or ticker before using a page.
## Request options
- `input` (string, required): the company to assess, ideally by its legal name. Example: `Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.`
- `effort` (string): `low`, `medium`, `high` or `x-high`. Defaults to `high`. The examples on the page ran at `high`.
## Request shape
Call `POST https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9/runs` with your Nimble API key. Poll `GET .../runs/{run_id}` until `is_active` is false, then read `GET .../runs/{run_id}/result`.
```json{"input":"Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.","effort":"high"}```### Python```pythonimport os, time
from nimble_python import Nimble
nimble = Nimble(api_key=os.environ["NIMBLE_API_KEY"])
agent_id ="wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9"# Nimble's credit risk agent
run = nimble.agents.runs.create(
agent_id,
input="Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.",
effort="high",)while run.is_active:
time.sleep(10)
run = nimble.agents.runs.get(run.id, agent_id=agent_id)
result = nimble.agents.runs.result(run.id, agent_id=agent_id)
print(result.output.content)```### TypeScript```typescriptimport Nimble from"@nimble-way/nimble-js";const nimble =new Nimble({ apiKey: process.env.NIMBLE_API_KEY });const agentId ="wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9";// Nimble's credit risk agentlet run =await nimble.agents.runs.create(agentId,{
input:"Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.",
effort:"high",});while(run.is_active){awaitnew Promise((r)=> setTimeout(r,10000));
run =await nimble.agents.runs.get(run.id,{ agent_id: agentId });}const result =await nimble.agents.runs.result(run.id,{ agent_id: agentId });
console.log(result.output.content);```### cURL```sh
AGENT_ID=wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9 # Nimble's credit risk agentcurl-X POST "https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/$AGENT_ID/runs"\--header"Authorization: Bearer $NIMBLE_API_KEY"\--header'Content-Type: application/json'\--data'{"input":"Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.","effort":"high"}'# poll until is_active is false, then read the resultcurl"https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/$AGENT_ID/runs/$RUN_ID"--header"Authorization: Bearer $NIMBLE_API_KEY"curl"https://sdk.nimbleway.com/v2/agents/$AGENT_ID/runs/$RUN_ID/result"--header"Authorization: Bearer $NIMBLE_API_KEY"```### CLI```sh
AGENT_ID=wsa_71d8b395623b4cc88984f41636ed01b9 # Nimble's credit risk agent
RUN_ID=$(nimble agents:runs create \--agent-id"$AGENT_ID"\--input'Assess the credit and counterparty risk of Carvana Co.'\--effort high |jq-r.id)# repeat while "is_active" is true, then read the resultnimble agents:runs get --agent-id"$AGENT_ID"--run-id"$RUN_ID"nimble agents:runs result --agent-id"$AGENT_ID"--run-id"$RUN_ID"```## Response data
The result has `run` and `output`. The report is in `output.content`: `risk_call` (low, moderate, elevated or high) and `risk_rationale`; `ownership` as `{ value, as_of, source_url }`; `financials` as a list of `{ metric, period, value, currency, stated_by, source_url }`; `credit_ratings`, `debt_events`, `payment_behaviour` and `distress_signals` as lists of `{ date, summary, source_url }`; `missing_fields` lists what no page could verify. `output.sources` lists the pages read and `output.trust` grades confidence per claim. Example (Carvana, every list trimmed to 3 items, 5 sources):
```json{"run":{"id":"task_run_57276f3409ac4b8c9f57707204eb8990","status":"completed","effort":"high","started_at":"2026-11-11T10:38:18.666519Z","completed_at":"2026-11-11T10:44:29.830828Z"},"output":{"type":"json","content":{"company":"Carvana Co. (NYSE: CVNA), Delaware corporation, CIK 0001690820, 300 E. Rio Salado Parkway, Tempe, AZ 85281","ownership":{"as_of":"2026-07-30","value":"Publicly traded on NYSE under CVNA; controlled company under NYSE rules. Dual-class structure: Class A one vote, Class B ten votes held by the Garcia parties (Ernest Garcia III, Chairman/CEO, and Ernest Garcia II, largest individual holder; Garcia II economic stake ~7%). Garcia parties control ~83% of voting rights per Fitch; related-party transactions with DriveTime Automotive Group and Verde Investments (Garcia family vehicles).","source_url":"https://fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-assigns-first-time-idr-of-bb-to-carvana-co-outlook-stable-30-07-2026"},"risk_call":"moderate","financials":[{"value":8040,"metric":"Total revenue, Q3 2026 (all-time record, +42% YoY)","period":"Q3 2026 (quarter ended 2026-09-30)","currency":"USD millions","stated_by":"Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026","source_url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results"},{"value":483,"metric":"Net income, Q3 2026 (margin 6.0%, +$220M YoY; includes $53M pretax expense on early note redemption)","period":"Q3 2026","currency":"USD millions","stated_by":"Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026","source_url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results"},{"value":800,"metric":"Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP), record, margin 10.0%","period":"Q3 2026","currency":"USD millions","stated_by":"Carvana press release, Oct 28, 2026","source_url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results"}],"debt_events":[{"date":"2023-09-01","summary":"Distressed debt exchange closed: 96.41% of noteholders exchanged $5.520B of senior unsecured notes due 2025-2030 for new senior secured notes due 2028-2031 ($981M due Dec 2028, $1,471M due Jun 2030, $1,741M due Jun 2031), secured by substantially all Carvana and ADESA assets. Cut total principal by $1.326B, cut required cash interest by $456M/yr over two years, reduced combined 2025/2027 maturities by 88%; paired with a $350M equity raise and $341M cash to 2025 noteholders.","source_url":"https://investors.carvana.com/~/media/Files/C/Carvana-IR/documents/debt-exchange-summary.pdf"},{"date":"2024","summary":"Redeemed $470M principal of the 2028 senior secured notes; raised $1.3B through prior at-the-market equity facility in 2024 (company retains a $1B ATM facility).","source_url":"https://investing.com/news/stock-market-news/carvana-co-credit-rating-upgraded-at-sp-due-to-improved-performance-93CH-3929628"},{"date":"2025-03-17","summary":"Securitization issuance: Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2025-P1 publicly registered asset-backed notes of $602.78M (Class A-1 through D), underwritten by Deutsche Bank Securities; ongoing ABS funding channel (Carvana Receivables Depositor LLC — affiliated securitization entity, not the parent issuer).","source_url":"https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1770373/000177037325000014/crvna2025-p1xform8xkrepric.htm"}],"credit_ratings":[{"date":"2025-03-13","summary":"S&P Global Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. issuer credit rating to 'B' from 'B-', outlook positive; unsolicited senior secured issue rating raised to 'B' (recovery '4', ~40%); senior unsecured to 'CCC+' (recovery '6', ~0%). S&P-adjusted leverage ~5x in 2024 vs ~17.8x in 2023; liquidity viewed as adequate (cash $1.72B at end-2024; sources at least 8x uses over 12 months).","source_url":"https://spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/sourceId/101616201"},{"date":"2025-03-27","summary":"Moody's Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. corporate family rating to B3 from Caa1; B3-PD probability of default; senior secured notes to B3, senior unsecured to Caa2; speculative-grade liquidity to SGL-2 from SGL-3; outlook positive. Debt/EBITDA improved to ~4.2x at end-2024 from 18.8x at end-2023; ~$1.7B unrestricted cash at end-2024.","source_url":"https://investing.com/news/stock-market-news/carvanas-corporate-family-rating-upgraded-by-moodys-to-b3-93CH-3954803"},{"date":"2025-10-02","summary":"Moody's Ratings upgraded Carvana Co. corporate family rating to B2 from B3, outlook positive; senior secured notes to B2, senior unsecured to Caa1. Debt/EBITDA ~3.2x and EBITDA-capex/interest ~2.8x for LTM ended 2025-06-30; ~$1.86B unrestricted cash at 2025-06-30; transitioned to full cash interest in August 2025 after ~$320M PIK (LTM).","source_url":"https://investing.com/news/stock-market-news/moodys-upgrades-carvanas-credit-rating-to-b2-outlook-positive-93CH-4269503"}],"missing_fields":["Exact date and press release for S&P's interim upgrade of Carvana from 'B' to 'BB-' (occurred between May 2025 and the Mar 3, 2026 affirmation; this affirmation page does not state the prior action date, and the aggregator page holding it could not be opened)","Any Moody's rating action after Oct 2, 2025 (B2, positive) — none found in searched sources as of 2026-11-11; this page records the latest confirmed action","Available borrowing capacity under warehouse/receivables facilities and floor plan as of 2026-09-30 (values not legible in this 10-Q filing; latest dated figure is Fitch's $2.1B available under receivables facilities at 2026-03-31)"],"risk_rationale":"Carvana is a speculative-grade credit whose probability of failing to meet obligations in the next 12 months is low by hard numbers, but whose single-channel funding model, controlled-company governance and 2023 distressed-exchange history keep it out of the low bucket — hence moderate. Evidence: as of 2026-09-30 (10-Q) cash was $3,049M against total debt of ~$5,157M ($283M current + $4,874M long-term), and the CFO reported record 0.8x net debt/TTM Adjusted EBITDA and 6.9x EBITDA/interest coverage; the next major maturity (the $1.66B Term Loan B that replaced the 9.00% 2030 secured notes) sits in 2030 after the August 2026 refinancing cut cash interest ~$45M/yr. Q3 2026 was a record across the board (revenue $8.04B +42%, net income $483M, Adjusted EBITDA $800M at 10.0% margin, 217,385 units), and all three agencies have been upgrading: Moody's Caa1→B3 (Mar 2025) →B2 positive (Oct 2025); S&P B-→B (Mar 2025) →BB- affirmed with positive outlook and secured raised to BB (Mar 2026); Fitch first-time BB- Stable (Jul 2026). Carvana carries no financial covenants, moved to fully cash interest in August 2025, and showed no missed coupons or going-concern language. Offsetting factors: the company defaulted via a distressed exchange as recently as September 2023; profitability leans on monetizing finance receivables to a concentrated buyer group (S&P explicitly flags buyer-cessation risk), with margin compression already visible (EBITDA margin 10.0% vs 11.3% YoY; ~$200/unit fuel/rate headwind); governance is concentrated (Garcia parties ~83% of votes, Fitch 'deficient' governance, DriveTime related-party dealings); and there is ~$2.1B net inventory build YTD supporting a 1.5M-unit capacity bet. Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is guided to the higher end of $2.7–3.0B. Net: a counterparty can transact with Carvana on normal terms, monitoring the ABS/loan-sale channel and GPU trajectory.","distress_signals":[{"date":"2022-05-10 to 2023-01-13","summary":"Historical distress: 4,000 jobs cut across tracked rounds — 2,500 (May 10, 2022), 1,500/8% of staff (Nov 18, 2022), further layoffs Jan 13, 2023 'amid slowing sales and debt squeeze' (per TechCrunch/WSJ via SIVL tracker).","source_url":"https://gosivl.com/companies/carvana-layoffs"},{"date":"2026-04-21","summary":"Most recent tracked workforce reduction, affecting Atlanta workers; assessed low severity (per bizjournals.com via SIVL tracker; last verified 2026-04-21).","source_url":"https://gosivl.com/companies/carvana-layoffs"},{"date":"Q3 2026","summary":"Margin compression inside record results: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 10.0% from 11.3% a year earlier; operations expense +$109/unit (fuel/logistics), advertising +$45/unit, other GPU -$299; ~$200/unit headwind from fuel prices and rising benchmark rates; inventory up ~$1.0B YTD to $3.46B to support 1.5M-unit capacity buildout.","source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/carvana-co-cvna-q3-2026-090838945.html"}],"payment_behaviour":[{"date":"2026-10-29","summary":"BBB complaint (resolved): a customer selling a vehicle to Carvana reported Carvana 'failed to pay me the money for it. $5498.01 is owed'; Carvana confirmed the amount and said its treasury team was reviewing the check and arranging reissue — an isolated delayed-payment-to-seller data point.","source_url":"https://bbb.org/us/az/tempe/profile/online-car-dealers/carvana-llc-1126-1000037076/complaints"},{"date":"2025-01-14","summary":"Connecticut AG settlement after hundreds of consumer complaints involving delayed payments to sellers and extended title/registration delays: $1M consumer restitution fund plus $500K penalty to the state ($250K suspended if compliant). Carvana cooperated fully.","source_url":"https://wtnh.com/news/connecticut/ag-tong-announces-1-5-million-settlement-with-used-car-dealership-carvana"},{"date":"3 years to 2026-10-30","summary":"5,043 BBB complaints against Carvana LLC in the last 3 years (1,588 in last 12 months), predominantly service/repair issues (3,456); not BBB accredited. Operating subsidiary Carvana LLC, not the listed issuer.","source_url":"https://bbb.org/us/az/tempe/profile/online-car-dealers/carvana-llc-1126-1000037076/complaints"}]},"confidence":null,"sources":[{"url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-record-third-quarter-2026-results","title":"Carvana Announces Record Third Quarter 2026 Results"},{"url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/carvana-co-cvna-q3-2026-090838945.html","title":"Carvana Co (CVNA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record $8 Billion ..."},{"url":"https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001690820/000169082026000067/cvna-20260930.htm","title":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001690820/000169082026000067/cvna-20260930.htm"},{"url":"https://fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2026/10/29/carvana-cvna-q3-2026-earnings-call-transcript","title":"Carvana (CVNA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript - The Motley Fool"},{"url":"https://press.carvana.com/carvana-announces-successful-upsize-and-pricing-of-1-66b-senior-secured-term-loan-b-facility","title":"Carvana Announces Successful Upsize and Pricing of $1.66B Senior ..."}]}}```
Nimble credit risk agent
A ready-made Nimble agent for credit and counterparty risk.
A research agent that assesses a company's ability to meet its obligations from public evidence. Nimble's agent collects financials from filings and annual reports, rating actions from S&P, Moody's, Fitch and others, debt events such as refinancings, covenant amendments and defaults, payment issues such as liens and judgments, and distress signals such as layoffs, auditor changes or going-concern language, then makes a low, moderate, elevated or high risk call.
What does the risk call mean?
Low, moderate, elevated and high describe the likelihood the company cannot meet its obligations in the next 12 months. The call has to follow from the items the agent cited, and the rationale says which ones drove it.
Can it assess private companies?
Yes, with what is public: filed accounts in registries such as UK Companies House and EU registers, statements by the company or the press (labelled with who said it), court and lien records, and news. Figures from a parent or subsidiary are not used as the company’s own.
Can I run credit risk assessment from Claude, ChatGPT or my own agent?
Yes. Paste this prompt into Claude, ChatGPT, Codex, Cursor or Grok: "Be my credit research assistant using Nimble. Follow https://docs.nimbleway.com/skills/credit-risk/SKILL.md." The skill asks what you need, connects Nimble if it isn't connected yet, and runs the agent. Developers can call the same ready-made agent by its ID from the API, the Python or TypeScript SDK, or from Mastra, LangChain, the Vercel AI SDK and LlamaIndex.